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Herodotou, Christothea; Rienties, Bart; Verdin, Barry; Boroowa, Avinash – Journal of Learning Analytics, 2019
Predictive Learning Analytics (PLA) aim to improve learning by identifying students at risk of failing their studies. Yet, little is known about how best to integrate and scaffold PLA initiatives into higher education institutions. Towards this end, it becomes essential to capture and analyze the perceptions of relevant educational stakeholders…
Descriptors: Prediction, Data Analysis, Higher Education, Distance Education
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Gardner, Josh; Brooks, Christopher – Journal of Learning Analytics, 2018
Model evaluation -- the process of making inferences about the performance of predictive models -- is a critical component of predictive modelling research in learning analytics. We survey the state of the practice with respect to model evaluation in learning analytics, which overwhelmingly uses only na├»ve methods for model evaluation or…
Descriptors: Prediction, Models, Evaluation, Evaluation Methods
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Aguiar, Everaldo; Ambrose, G. Alex; Chawla, Nitesh V.; Goodrich, Victoria; Brockman, Jay – Journal of Learning Analytics, 2014
As providers of higher education begin to harness the power of big data analytics, one very fitting application for these new techniques is that of predicting student attrition. The ability to pinpoint students who might soon decide to drop out, or who may be following a suboptimal path to success, allows those in charge not only to understand the…
Descriptors: Academic Persistence, Engineering Education, Portfolios (Background Materials), Dropouts
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Lang, Charles – Journal of Learning Analytics, 2014
This article proposes a coherent framework for the use of Inverse Bayesian estimation to summarize and make predictions about student behaviour in adaptive educational settings. The Inverse Bayes Filter utilizes Bayes theorem to estimate the relative impact of contextual factors and internal student factors on student performance using time series…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Academic Achievement, Prediction, Student Behavior